Tennis · M25 Austin · 14/10, 18:30

Prediction: Devin Badenhorst vs Micah Braswell

Team pages: Devin Badenhorst · Micah Braswell

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Devin Badenhorst Micah Braswell
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Devin Badenhorst 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLWW
Micah Braswell 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Devin Badenhorst 1527 · Micah Braswell 1474
Devin BadenhorstMicah Braswell
Our model58%42%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Devin Badenhorst (rating 1527 vs 1474).
  • Devin Badenhorst dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 43.9% break avg.
  • Note: Devin Badenhorst makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Devin BadenhorstMicah Braswell
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.90.9-1.3
Games (G-P)12-10.99.3-11.4
Aces8.34.8
Double faults5.72.2
1st serve %73.6%63.5%
Break %43.9%31%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Devin Badenhorst

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Ofek Shimanov
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L
15/07 Khololwam Montsi
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-1 17-10 W
09/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Tom Zeuch
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
05/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
04/07 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
03/07 Alec Deckers
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
02/07 Preston Brown
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 Andreas Timini
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/06 Eliakim Coulibaly
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 12-18 L

Micah Braswell

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Gabriel Debru
M25 Austin
2-1 9-9 W
01/10 Hugo Coquelin
M15 Ann Arbor
0-2 4-12 L
29/09 Adhithya Ganesan
M15 Ann Arbor
2-1 18-17 W
24/09 Gavin Goode
M15 Columbia
0-2 4-12 L
02/02 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Cleveland · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
01/02 Anmay Devaraj
Challenger Cleveland · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
27/01 Trevor Svajda
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/01 Stefan Dostanic
M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
13/01 Taha Baadi
M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/01 Nicola Ion
M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard
0-1 9-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Devin Badenhorst vs Micah Braswell?

Our model gives 53% to Devin Badenhorst, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.