Tennis · M25 Austin · 14/10, 17:00

Prediction: Zsombor Velcz vs Timo Legout

Team pages: Zsombor Velcz · Timo Legout

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Zsombor Velcz Timo Legout
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zsombor Velcz 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLLLLW
Timo Legout 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zsombor Velcz 1514 · Timo Legout 1600
Zsombor VelczTimo Legout
Our model38%62%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timo Legout (rating 1514 vs 1600).
  • Timo Legout is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Zsombor VelczTimo Legout
Win %50%80%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.7-0.6
Games (G-P)10-9.613.2-9.2
Aces3.80.6
Double faults3.22.7
1st serve %65.8%66.2%
Break %36.3%56.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zsombor Velcz

LLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Blu Baker
M25 Austin
2-0 12-8 W
29/09 Matt Kuhar
M15 Ann Arbor
0-2 6-13 L
23/09 Olaf Pieczkowski
M15 Columbia
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Zachary Viiala
M15 Champaign
0-2 9-13 L
19/07 Orel Kimhi
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/07 Jordan Hasson
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
17/07 Charlie Robertson
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/07 Filip Peliwo
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
10/07 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L

Timo Legout

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/09 Igor Marcondes
Challenger San Diego · Hard
1-2 17-20 L
25/09 Tristan Boyer
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
24/09 Colton Smith
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
23/09 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 19-14 W
21/09 Daniil Ostapenkov
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/09 Darian King
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
17/09 Bryce Nakashima
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/09 Henry Searle
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Daniil Ostapenkov
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
13/09 Evan Bynoe
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zsombor Velcz vs Timo Legout?

Our model gives 76% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.