Tennis · M25 Austin · 14/10, 17:00
Prediction: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Dominick Mosejczuk
Team pages: Johan Alexander Rodriguez · Dominick Mosejczuk
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Dominick Mosejczuk
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
6-4 (W-L)
Dominick Mosejczuk
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Alexander Rodriguez 1486 · Dominick Mosejczuk 1536
| Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Dominick Mosejczuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominick Mosejczuk (rating 1486 vs 1536).
- Dominick Mosejczuk is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Dominick Mosejczuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.8 | 11.9-10 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Carel Aubriel Ngounoue M25 Austin |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Jonah Braswell M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Jerry Roddick M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Elijah Strode M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Jacob Brumm M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Dominick Mosejczuk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Shu Matsuoka M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Jonah Braswell M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/10 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Iiro Vasa M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Carel Aubriel Ngounoue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Dominick Mosejczuk?
Our model gives 54% to Dominick Mosejczuk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.