Tennis · M25 Austin · 14/10, 17:00
Prediction: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Iker Urribarrens
Team pages: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · Iker Urribarrens
Prediction summary
Winner
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Iker Urribarrens
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
3-7 (W-L)
Iker Urribarrens
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1470 · Iker Urribarrens 1534
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Iker Urribarrens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iker Urribarrens (rating 1470 vs 1534).
- Iker Urribarrens is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Iker Urribarrens makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | Iker Urribarrens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-11.6 | 12.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Vojtech Mares Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Iker Urribarrens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jonah Braswell M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Thomas Kennedy UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicholas Patrick UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Dani Szabo UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Joseph Phillips UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Kayden Colombo UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Yoshka Sborowsky UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Iker Urribarrens?
Our model gives 58% to Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.