Tennis · M25 Austin · 14/10, 17:00
Prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Aryan Shah
Team pages: Quinn Vandecasteele · Aryan Shah
Prediction summary
Winner
Quinn Vandecasteele
Aryan Shah
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Quinn Vandecasteele
5-5 (W-L)
Aryan Shah
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quinn Vandecasteele 1496 · Aryan Shah 1498
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Quinn Vandecasteele dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 46.7% break avg.
- Note: Aryan Shah makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.3 | 12.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quinn Vandecasteele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Preston Stearns Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Noah Zamora Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 22/08 | Li Tu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Aryan Shah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jerry Roddick M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Evan Bynoe M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Louis Larue M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quinn Vandecasteele vs Aryan Shah?
Our model gives 54% to Quinn Vandecasteele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.