Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 15/10, 11:00
Prediction: Etienne Donnet vs Matteo Martineau
Team pages: Etienne Donnet · Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Etienne Donnet
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Etienne Donnet
5-5 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Etienne Donnet
0–1
Matteo Martineau
(1 last)
- 05 Oct0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Etienne Donnet 1584 · Matteo Martineau 1510
| Etienne Donnet | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Etienne Donnet (rating 1584 vs 1510).
- Etienne Donnet is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Etienne Donnet 0–1 Matteo Martineau (1).
- Note: Matteo Martineau makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Etienne Donnet | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.9 | 13.2-12.6 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.1
Over 22.5: 58% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 42% · 1.80
H2H · Etienne Donnet 0 – 1 Matteo Martineau (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Etienne Donnet 0–1 Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 Challenger Roanne | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Etienne Donnet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Amir Omarkhanov Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Amaury Raynel M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/09 | Paul Colin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 26/09 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 8-10 | L |
| 25/09 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Sven Corbinais M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 21/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Etienne Donnet vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 53% to Matteo Martineau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.