Tennis · W100 Edmond · 14/10, 18:30
Prediction: Sofia Johnson vs Renata Zarazua
Team pages: Sofia Johnson · Renata Zarazua
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Johnson
Renata Zarazua
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Johnson
4-6 (W-L)
Renata Zarazua
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Johnson 1506 · Renata Zarazua 1471
| Sofia Johnson | Renata Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sofia Johnson is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sofia Johnson | Renata Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.8 | 10.3-12 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Ivana Sebestova WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Margaux Rouvroy WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Matilde Jorge W50 Evora |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Kayla Cross W50 Evora |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Xinyu Gao W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Renata Zarazua
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Han Shi WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/09 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Yue Yuan WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Johnson vs Renata Zarazua?
Our model gives 56% to Renata Zarazua, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.