Tennis · W100 Edmond · 17/10, 18:45
Prediction: Kristina Penickova vs Julieta Pareja
Team pages: Kristina Penickova · Julieta Pareja
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Penickova
Julieta Pareja
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Penickova
7-3 (W-L)
Julieta Pareja
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Penickova 1521 · Julieta Pareja 1536
| Kristina Penickova | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kristina Penickova makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Penickova | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.1 | 13-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Penickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Ella Mcdonald W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Carolina Kuhl W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Iryna Shymanovich W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Julieta Pareja
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Varvara Lepchenko W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Mary Stoiana W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Thea Frodin W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Iryna Shymanovich US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Penickova vs Julieta Pareja?
Our model gives 65% to Julieta Pareja, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.