Tennis · W100 Edmond · 17/10, 21:30
Prediction: Sloane Stephens vs Julieta Pareja
Team pages: Sloane Stephens · Julieta Pareja
Prediction summary
Winner
Sloane Stephens
Julieta Pareja
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Julieta Pareja
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sloane Stephens 1508 · Julieta Pareja 1546
| Sloane Stephens | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sloane Stephens | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.4 | 13-10 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Dana Guzman W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Carole Monnet WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Clara Tauson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Julieta Pareja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/10 | Varvara Lepchenko W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Mary Stoiana W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Thea Frodin W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sloane Stephens vs Julieta Pareja?
Our model gives 52% to Julieta Pareja, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.