Tennis · W100 Edmond · 15/10, 18:30
Prediction: Madison Brengle vs Sloane Stephens
Team pages: Madison Brengle · Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Madison Brengle
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Madison Brengle
7-3 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madison Brengle 1594 · Sloane Stephens 1520
| Madison Brengle | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madison Brengle (rating 1594 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Madison Brengle | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.7 | 11.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madison Brengle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Hanna Chang W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Astra Sharma W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Lea Ma W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Aspen Schuman W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W50 Lexington |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Amelie Van Impe W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Arianna Zucchini W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Mimi Xu W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Carole Monnet WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Clara Tauson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Sinja Kraus WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madison Brengle vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 52% to Sloane Stephens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.