Tennis · W100 Edmond · 17/10, 17:00
Prediction: Dana Guzman vs Sloane Stephens
Team pages: Dana Guzman · Sloane Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Dana Guzman
Sloane Stephens
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Dana Guzman
9-1 (W-L)
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dana Guzman 1620 · Sloane Stephens 1522
| Dana Guzman | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dana Guzman (rating 1620 vs 1522).
- Dana Guzman is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dana Guzman | Sloane Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-6.7 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 0 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dana Guzman
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Julia Adams W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Olivia Lincer W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Annika Penickova W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Eunhye Lee W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Sloane Stephens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Carole Monnet WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Clara Tauson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dana Guzman vs Sloane Stephens?
Our model gives 51% to Sloane Stephens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.