Tennis · W100 Edmond · 14/10, 17:00
Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Alana Smith
Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Alana Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Tatjana Maria
Alana Smith
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria
8-2 (W-L)
Alana Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1516 · Alana Smith 1546
| Tatjana Maria | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tatjana Maria | Alana Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.4 | 10.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatjana Maria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Lea Ma W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Taylor Townsend WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikola Bartunkova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jelena Ostapenko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Alana Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Anastasia Kulikova W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Alexandra Vagramov W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Adelina Lachinova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Duru Arslan WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Katarina Kujovic W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Alana Smith?
Our model gives 69% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.