Tennis · W35 Redding · 14/10, 16:00
Prediction: Nao Nishino vs Abigail Rencheli
Team pages: Nao Nishino · Abigail Rencheli
Prediction summary
Winner
Nao Nishino
Abigail Rencheli
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nao Nishino
10-0 (W-L)
Abigail Rencheli
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nao Nishino 1635 · Abigail Rencheli 1557
| Nao Nishino | Abigail Rencheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nao Nishino (rating 1635 vs 1557).
- Nao Nishino is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Abigail Rencheli makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Nao Nishino | Abigail Rencheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-6 | 10.2-7.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 60.1% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nao Nishino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Lilian Poling UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Anastasia Akuginova UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Amiya Bowles UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Ekaterina Ivanova UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Kaede Usui UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Abigail Rencheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Juliana Singeorzan W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Emma Montebello Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Altea Hajrizi Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Bryndis Rosa Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Miroslava Medvedeva W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Miroslava Medvedeva W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Ana Grubor W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nao Nishino vs Abigail Rencheli?
Our model gives 59% to Nao Nishino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.