Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 15/10, 10:00
Prediction: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Laura Samsonova
Team pages: Lucie Nguyen Tan · Laura Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Laura Samsonova
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Nguyen Tan
6-4 (W-L)
Laura Samsonova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1555 · Laura Samsonova 1551
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.6 | 12.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 63% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Eva Bennemann WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Ruth Roura Llaverias WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Mireia Sagrista Bermejo WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Maria Garcia Cid W35 Seville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Pia Lovric W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Ares Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Manon Leonard W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Yasmine Mansouri W75 Le Neubourg |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Alina Granwehr WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Laura Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Laura Samsonova?
Our model gives 68% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.