Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 15/10, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva
Team pages: Francesca Curmi · Elizara Yaneva
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Elizara Yaneva
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
5-5 (W-L)
Elizara Yaneva
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Curmi
0–1
Elizara Yaneva
(1 last)
- 04 Feb0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1522 · Elizara Yaneva 1595
| Francesca Curmi | Elizara Yaneva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elizara Yaneva (rating 1522 vs 1595).
- Elizara Yaneva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Francesca Curmi 0–1 Elizara Yaneva (1).
- Note: Elizara Yaneva makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Elizara Yaneva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.8 | 12.8-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 62.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Francesca Curmi 0 – 1 Elizara Yaneva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Curmi 0–1 Elizara Yaneva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/26 W50 Porto | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Eva Vedder WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Alisa Oktiabreva W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Maayan Laron W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 11-13 | L |
Elizara Yaneva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Carole Monnet WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Sonja Zhenikhova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Giulia Safina Popa W50 Burgas |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W50 Plovdiv |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/09 | Lidia Encheva W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Laura Mair W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Margaux Maquet W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva?
Our model gives 57% to Elizara Yaneva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.