Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 16/10, 10:00
Prediction: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings
Team pages: Julia Grabher · Ariana Geerlings
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Grabher
Ariana Geerlings
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Grabher
2-8 (W-L)
Ariana Geerlings
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Grabher 1591 · Ariana Geerlings 1554
| Julia Grabher | Ariana Geerlings | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Julia Grabher makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Ariana Geerlings makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Julia Grabher | Ariana Geerlings | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (7) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.8 | 11.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Grabher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Lidia Encheva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/10 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Dalma Galfi WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Alice Tubello WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Sorana Cirstea US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Ariana Geerlings
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Lucia Cortez Llorca WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Tea Kovacevic WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Seville |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Laura Boehner W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 12/09 | Francesca Pace W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Amandine Hesse W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Freya Peet W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings?
Our model gives 58% to Julia Grabher, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.