Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 15/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi
Team pages: Mika Brunold · Benjamin Bonzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Brunold
Benjamin Bonzi
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Brunold
9-1 (W-L)
Benjamin Bonzi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Brunold 1606 · Benjamin Bonzi 1556
| Mika Brunold | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Brunold (rating 1606 vs 1556).
Statistics
| Mika Brunold | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.7-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.2 | 13.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.1
Over 21.5: 58% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 42% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Brunold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Benjamin Bonzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 28/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex Molcan US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi?
Our model gives 56% to Benjamin Bonzi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.