Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 14/10, 05:30
Prediction: Jamie Mackenzie vs Corban Crowther
Team pages: Jamie Mackenzie · Corban Crowther
Prediction summary
Winner
Jamie Mackenzie
Corban Crowther
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jamie Mackenzie
6-4 (W-L)
Corban Crowther
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jamie Mackenzie 1491 · Corban Crowther 1443
| Jamie Mackenzie | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jamie Mackenzie (rating 1491 vs 1443).
- Jamie Mackenzie is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jamie Mackenzie | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.6 | 8.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 30.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jamie Mackenzie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Tomas Farjat M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Corban Crowther
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Ye Hongyu M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 04/10 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Nick Beamish M15 Bali |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jamie Mackenzie vs Corban Crowther?
Our model gives 72% to Jamie Mackenzie, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.