Tennis · M25 Austin · 14/10, 17:00

Prediction: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Mitchell Krueger

Team pages: Shunsuke Mitsui · Mitchell Krueger

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Shunsuke Mitsui Mitchell Krueger
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Shunsuke Mitsui 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWL
Mitchell Krueger 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shunsuke Mitsui 1523 · Mitchell Krueger 1519
Shunsuke MitsuiMitchell Krueger
Our model51%49%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Shunsuke MitsuiMitchell Krueger
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.3-1.1
Games (G-P)9.3-8.112.9-12.4
Aces3.64.7
Double faults23.6
1st serve %63.9%68.4%
Break %50.9%32%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shunsuke Mitsui

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Oliver Okonkwo
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/09 Ryan Colby
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
20/09 Ozan Baris
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/09 Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu
0-2 6-12 L
03/09 Noritaka Koizumi
M25 Urayasu
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Shunsuke Nakagawa
M25 Urayasu
2-0 12-6 W
22/08 Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
21/08 Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 12-12 W
21/08 Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
20/08 Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Mitchell Krueger

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/10 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/10 Keegan Smith
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
01/10 Stefan Kozlov
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
28/09 Tyler Zink
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
22/09 Sebastian Gorzny
Challenger San Diego · Hard
1-2 16-18 L
18/09 Michael Zheng
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
17/09 Ryan Seggerman
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
15/09 Keegan Smith
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
2-1 19-17 W
25/08 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
13/07 Alex Martinez
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shunsuke Mitsui vs Mitchell Krueger?

Our model gives 58% to Mitchell Krueger, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.