Tennis · W35 Redding · 13/10, 19:00

Prediction: Salma Drugdova vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre

Team pages: Salma Drugdova · Mathilde Ngijol Carre

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Salma Drugdova Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Salma Drugdova 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLWW
Mathilde Ngijol Carre 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salma Drugdova 1456 · Mathilde Ngijol Carre 1481
Salma DrugdovaMathilde Ngijol Carre
Our model46%54%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Salma Drugdova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
  • Note: Mathilde Ngijol Carre makes many double faults (6.7/match).

Statistics

Salma DrugdovaMathilde Ngijol Carre
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41-1.4
Games (G-P)11.7-11.89.6-11.4
Aces0.11.5
Double faults6.36.7
1st serve %59.5%52.8%
Break %59.4%45.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salma Drugdova

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Carlota Moreno
W15 Nashville
1-2 11-17 L
29/09 Eugenia Zozaya Menendez
W15 Nashville
2-1 16-11 W
17/08 Darya Velikova
W35 Krakow
0-2 11-14 L
27/07 Alexa Karatancheva
W75 Hechingen
0-2 10-13 L
20/07 Karolina Mrazikova
W100 Amstetten
1-2 18-16 L
19/07 Lena Ramharter
W100 Amstetten
2-1 12-8 W
14/07 Aneta Laboutkova
W75 Olomouc
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Eszter Meri
W75 Olomouc
2-0 10-3 W
03/07 Stefania Bojica
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
1-2 11-17 L
02/07 Paula Cembranos
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Mathilde Ngijol Carre

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Stefani Webb
W15 Nashville
0-2 4-12 L
29/09 Charlotte Narti
W15 Nashville
2-0 13-9 W
30/07 Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/07 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
27/07 Ekaterina Agureeva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 13-9 W
20/07 Andrea Obradovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
15/07 Gloria De Santis
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
14/07 Kristina Kovgan
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 13-9 W
29/06 Seda Baslilar
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 13-14 L
18/02 Julieta Pareja
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salma Drugdova vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre?

Our model gives 53% to Salma Drugdova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.