Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 14/10, 17:00
Prediction: Francisco Comesana vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Francisco Comesana · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Comesana
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Comesana
5-5 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisco Comesana
3–1
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
(4 last)
- 26 Feb2-0 14-12W
- 22 Nov2-0 12-7W
- 24 Oct0-2 2-12L
- 25 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Comesana 1478 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1513
| Francisco Comesana | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Francisco Comesana dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 42.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Francisco Comesana 3–1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (4).
- Note: Francisco Comesana makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Comesana | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.7 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-14.6 | 9.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 66% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Francisco Comesana 3 – 1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisco Comesana 3–1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/25 ATP Santiago | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/11/24 Challenger Sao Paulo | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/10/22 Challenger Lima | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06/22 Challenger Buenos Aires | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Comesana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-23 | L |
| 25/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Comesana vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 57% to Francisco Comesana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.