Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 17/10, 21:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Juan Manuel La Serna · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel La Serna
7-3 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel La Serna
0–1
Hugo Dellien
(1 last)
- 06 Feb0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1528 · Hugo Dellien 1597
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1528 vs 1597).
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel La Serna 0–1 Hugo Dellien (1).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12 | 12.4-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 62.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Juan Manuel La Serna 0 – 1 Hugo Dellien (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel La Serna 0–1 Hugo Dellien
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Challenger Rosario | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Hugo Dellien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 69% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.