Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 16/10, 20:00
Prediction: Luis Guto Miguel vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Luis Guto Miguel · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Guto Miguel
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Guto Miguel
7-3 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Guto Miguel 1537 · Hugo Dellien 1579
| Luis Guto Miguel | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1537 vs 1579).
Statistics
| Luis Guto Miguel | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.7 | 12.4-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 59.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Guto Miguel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Petr Nesterov M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Guto Miguel vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 61% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.