Tennis · M25 Austin · 13/10, 18:30
Prediction: Jerry Roddick vs Aryan Shah
Team pages: Jerry Roddick · Aryan Shah
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerry Roddick
Aryan Shah
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jerry Roddick
8-2 (W-L)
Aryan Shah
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerry Roddick 1543 · Aryan Shah 1494
| Jerry Roddick | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerry Roddick (rating 1543 vs 1494).
- Jerry Roddick is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Aryan Shah makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Jerry Roddick | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.8 | 12.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerry Roddick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Rudy Ceccon M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Yua Taka M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Ryuichiro Nakano M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Taisei Ichikawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Yamato Sueoka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Aryan Shah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Evan Bynoe M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Stefan Vujic M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Luca Potenza M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Louis Larue M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Matusevich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerry Roddick vs Aryan Shah?
Our model gives 54% to Aryan Shah, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.