Tennis · M25 Austin · 13/10, 18:30
Prediction: Shu Matsuoka vs Dominick Mosejczuk
Team pages: Shu Matsuoka · Dominick Mosejczuk
Prediction summary
Winner
Shu Matsuoka
Dominick Mosejczuk
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Shu Matsuoka
2-8 (W-L)
Dominick Mosejczuk
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shu Matsuoka 1480 · Dominick Mosejczuk 1542
| Shu Matsuoka | Dominick Mosejczuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominick Mosejczuk (rating 1480 vs 1542).
- Shu Matsuoka dominates on serve: 6 aces and 42.4% break avg.
- Dominick Mosejczuk is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Shu Matsuoka | Dominick Mosejczuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.8 | 11.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 6 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shu Matsuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Nathan Cox M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/06 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/05 | Evan Zhu M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Dominick Mosejczuk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Jonah Braswell M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/10 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Iiro Vasa M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Carel Aubriel Ngounoue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shu Matsuoka vs Dominick Mosejczuk?
Our model gives 70% to Dominick Mosejczuk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.