Tennis · W100 Edmond · 13/10, 17:00

Prediction: Sofia Johnson vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon

Team pages: Sofia Johnson · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Sofia Johnson Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Johnson 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWLWLLW
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sofia Johnson 1507 · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 1544
Sofia JohnsonAnne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Our model45%55%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Sofia JohnsonAnne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)10.8-9.610.8-10.2
Aces1.31.3
Double faults2.94
1st serve %62.9%62.6%
Break %41.5%44.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sofia Johnson

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Mckenna Schaefbauer
W100 Edmond
2-0 13-8 W
22/09 Maria Timofeeva
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
21/09 Reese Brantmeier
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/09 Ivana Sebestova
WTA Porto · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/09 Malaika Rapolu
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
13/09 Margaux Rouvroy
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora
1-2 10-13 L
11/09 Kayla Cross
W50 Evora
2-1 18-15 W
10/09 Xinyu Gao
W50 Evora
2-0 12-4 W
08/09 Oceane Dodin
W50 Evora
2-1 16-10 W

Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Ashley Lahey
W100 Edmond
2-1 18-14 W
07/10 Emma Kamper
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
1-2 8-16 L
28/09 Carolina Kuhl
W100 Templeton
0-2 9-13 L
23/09 Madison Brengle
W50 Berkeley
0-2 2-12 L
03/09 Ashley Lahey
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/09 Carlota Corte
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
30/08 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
29/08 Katarina Kuzmova
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-1 14-15 W
28/08 Alice Ferlito
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/08 Kate Sharabura
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sofia Johnson vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon?

Our model gives 62% to Sofia Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.