Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 14/10, 20:00
Prediction: Matilde Magrini vs Marley Lambert
Team pages: Matilde Magrini · Marley Lambert
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Magrini
Marley Lambert
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Magrini
6-4 (W-L)
Marley Lambert
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Magrini 1494 · Marley Lambert 1482
| Matilde Magrini | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matilde Magrini makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Marley Lambert makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Magrini | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.7 | 7.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 54.5% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Magrini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Kristina Nordikyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Judit Hernandez Miranda UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Emma Pell UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Olive Maunupau UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/09 | Martina Puvill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Tiffany Papazian UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Ella Haavisto W35 Gentofte |
1-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 16/06 | Isabelle Cherny W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Marley Lambert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Judit Hernandez Miranda UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Kristina Nordikyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/10 | Savannah Schmitz UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Victoria Wang UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Maria P Ramos Garcia UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Olive Maunupau UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Dia Evtimova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Magrini vs Marley Lambert?
Our model gives 66% to Matilde Magrini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.