Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Eva Bennemann
Team pages: Lucie Nguyen Tan · Eva Bennemann
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Eva Bennemann
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Nguyen Tan
5-5 (W-L)
Eva Bennemann
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1552 · Eva Bennemann 1505
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Eva Bennemann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucie Nguyen Tan (rating 1552 vs 1505).
Statistics
| Lucie Nguyen Tan | Eva Bennemann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.6 | 9.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Ruth Roura Llaverias WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Mireia Sagrista Bermejo WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Maria Garcia Cid W35 Seville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Pia Lovric W35 Seville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Ares Teixido Garcia W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Manon Leonard W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Yasmine Mansouri W75 Le Neubourg |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Alina Granwehr WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Amandine Monnot WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Eva Bennemann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Yasmin Ezzat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alena Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/08 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Elza Tomase W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Eva Bennemann?
Our model gives 54% to Eva Bennemann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.