Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 13/10, 12:00
Prediction: Ugo Blanchet vs Tom Paris
Team pages: Ugo Blanchet · Tom Paris
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Blanchet
Tom Paris
Estimated games
22.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Blanchet
7-3 (W-L)
Tom Paris
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ugo Blanchet
0–1
Tom Paris
(1 last)
- 04 Nov0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Blanchet 1527 · Tom Paris 1491
| Ugo Blanchet | Tom Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ugo Blanchet 0–1 Tom Paris (1).
Statistics
| Ugo Blanchet | Tom Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.3 | 9.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.7
Over 21.5: 55% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 45% · 1.90
H2H · Ugo Blanchet 0 – 1 Tom Paris (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ugo Blanchet 0–1 Tom Paris
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/23 ATP Metz | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Blanchet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Tom Paris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 06/04 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/03 | Raphael Perot M25 Toulouse |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 19/03 | Kenny de Schepper M25 Toulouse |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Blanchet vs Tom Paris?
Our model gives 65% to Ugo Blanchet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.