Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Etienne Donnet
Team pages: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · Etienne Donnet
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Etienne Donnet
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
5-5 (W-L)
Etienne Donnet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1435 · Etienne Donnet 1568
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Etienne Donnet (rating 1435 vs 1568).
- Etienne Donnet is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-14 | 13-11.2 |
| Aces | 15 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.1% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 28.7% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.2
Over 22.5: 58% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 42% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-20 | L |
| 23/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
| 16/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Johannus Monday ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Etienne Donnet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Amir Omarkhanov Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniel Jade M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Amaury Raynel M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/09 | Paul Colin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 26/09 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 8-10 | L |
| 25/09 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Sven Corbinais M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Etienne Donnet?
Our model gives 55% to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.