Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Jakub Paul vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Jakub Paul · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Jakub Paul
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Paul
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jakub Paul
0–1
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
(1 last)
- 12 May1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Paul 1507 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1509
| Jakub Paul | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jakub Paul 0–1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1).
Statistics
| Jakub Paul | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.4 | 12.9-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.4
Over 20.5: 66% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 34% · 1.83
H2H · Jakub Paul 0 – 1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jakub Paul 0–1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 Challenger Valencia | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Paul
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Loann Massard Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Niels McDonald Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/05 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/03 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Marrakech · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Naples · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Jie Cui Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Paul vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 66% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.