Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Norbert Gombos
Team pages: Pierre-Hugues Herbert · Norbert Gombos
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Norbert Gombos
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
5-5 (W-L)
Norbert Gombos
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
2–0
Norbert Gombos
(2 last)
- 20 Feb2-0 13-8W
- 02 Oct2-1 17-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 1442 · Norbert Gombos 1564
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | Norbert Gombos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Norbert Gombos (rating 1442 vs 1564).
- Norbert Gombos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Pierre-Hugues Herbert 2–0 Norbert Gombos (2).
- Note: Pierre-Hugues Herbert makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | Norbert Gombos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-14 | 11.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 78.4% |
| Break % | 27.7% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.4
Over 22.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 2 – 0 Norbert Gombos (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pierre-Hugues Herbert 2–0 Norbert Gombos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/18 ATP Marseille | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10/16 Challenger Orleans | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Kenta Miyoshi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Sandro Kopp ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Thiago Monteiro ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 22/06 | Paul Jubb Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Mert Alkaya ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Daniil Glinka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Norbert Gombos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Robin Catry Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexander Wagner Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea De Marchi Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Norbert Gombos?
Our model gives 54% to Norbert Gombos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.