Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 13/10, 04:30

Prediction: Alexey Shtengelov vs Kosuke Shibano

Team pages: Alexey Shtengelov · Kosuke Shibano

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Alexey Shtengelov Kosuke Shibano
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexey Shtengelov 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWWWLL
Kosuke Shibano 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexey Shtengelov 1424 · Kosuke Shibano 1420
Alexey ShtengelovKosuke Shibano
Our model51%49%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Alexey Shtengelov makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Alexey ShtengelovKosuke Shibano
Win %20%20%
Win % · Hard 22% (9) 20% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.70.6-1.7
Games (G-P)8.5-12.47.4-11.9
Aces11.6
Double faults4.33
1st serve %64.3%58.2%
Break %37.9%38.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexey Shtengelov

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Thomas Linley
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
02/09 Hong-Lin Fu
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/09 Jacob Kailiang Shen
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
31/08 Kotaro Mochizuki
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
26/08 Arjun Balakrishnan
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
25/08 Alec Braund
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
22/08 Alec Braund
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/08 Jera Staley
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/08 Clint Charles
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
14/10 Remy Bertola
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Kosuke Shibano

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Keisuke Ota
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Kanan Gasimov
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
08/07 Hanyi Liu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
07/07 Jangjun Kim
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
03/06 Kotaro Mochizuki
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
1-2 10-14 L
01/06 Alan Magadan
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/06 Soma Fukuhara
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
21/04 Thantub Suksumrarn
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/04 Chan-Yeong Oh
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
13/04 Eric Ahren Moonga
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-1 11-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexey Shtengelov vs Kosuke Shibano?

Our model gives 70% to Kosuke Shibano, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.