Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 18/10, 04:30
Prediction: Sora Fukuda vs Oscar Brown
Team pages: Sora Fukuda · Oscar Brown
Prediction summary
Winner
Sora Fukuda
Oscar Brown
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sora Fukuda
7-3 (W-L)
Oscar Brown
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sora Fukuda 1526 · Oscar Brown 1552
| Sora Fukuda | Oscar Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sora Fukuda | Oscar Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.4 | 10.9-8.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sora Fukuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 16/10 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Philip Sekulic M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Yusuke Kusuhara M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alibek Kachmazov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Oscar Brown
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Mikal Statham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Hien Q H Pham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Pavel Skvortcov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Karol Filar M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Hazem Naw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sora Fukuda vs Oscar Brown?
Our model gives 51% to Sora Fukuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.