Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 17/10, 03:30
Prediction: Taiyo Hirano vs Alexey Shtengelov
Team pages: Taiyo Hirano · Alexey Shtengelov
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Hirano
Alexey Shtengelov
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Hirano
4-6 (W-L)
Alexey Shtengelov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Hirano 1486 · Alexey Shtengelov 1468
| Taiyo Hirano | Alexey Shtengelov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexey Shtengelov makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Taiyo Hirano | Alexey Shtengelov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.5 | 9.3-11 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Hirano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Sota Kambara UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Keisuke Ota UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Hien Q H Pham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Aruth Chinsupakul UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 12/10 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/11 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/11 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/11 | Yamato Nishiyama UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/11 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/11 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alexey Shtengelov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Aruth Chinsupakul UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Kazuki Saito UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Keisuke Ota UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Thomas Linley UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Arjun Balakrishnan UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Hirano vs Alexey Shtengelov?
Our model gives 63% to Taiyo Hirano, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.