Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 18/10, 03:00
Prediction: Kosuke Shibano vs Yuga Tashiro
Team pages: Kosuke Shibano · Yuga Tashiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Kosuke Shibano
Yuga Tashiro
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kosuke Shibano
3-7 (W-L)
Yuga Tashiro
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kosuke Shibano
1–0
Yuga Tashiro
(1 last)
- 08 Jan2-1 18-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kosuke Shibano 1486 · Yuga Tashiro 1589
| Kosuke Shibano | Yuga Tashiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuga Tashiro (rating 1486 vs 1589).
- Yuga Tashiro is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kosuke Shibano 1–0 Yuga Tashiro (1).
Statistics
| Kosuke Shibano | Yuga Tashiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-9.8 | 11.3-6.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Kosuke Shibano 1 – 0 Yuga Tashiro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kosuke Shibano 1–0 Yuga Tashiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/25 UTR Pro Noda | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kosuke Shibano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Liam Youn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Sora Fukuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Thomas Linley UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Keisuke Ota UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jangjun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Alan Magadan UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Yuga Tashiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Mikal Statham UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Ryusei Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kosuke Shibano vs Yuga Tashiro?
Our model gives 63% to Yuga Tashiro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.