Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 16/10, 03:30
Prediction: Sora Fukuda vs Kosuke Shibano
Team pages: Sora Fukuda · Kosuke Shibano
Prediction summary
Winner
Sora Fukuda
Kosuke Shibano
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sora Fukuda
7-3 (W-L)
Kosuke Shibano
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sora Fukuda
1–0
Kosuke Shibano
(1 last)
- 29 Oct2-0 13-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sora Fukuda 1502 · Kosuke Shibano 1453
| Sora Fukuda | Kosuke Shibano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sora Fukuda (rating 1502 vs 1453).
- Head-to-head: Sora Fukuda 1–0 Kosuke Shibano (1).
Statistics
| Sora Fukuda | Kosuke Shibano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.4 | 8.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 62% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Sora Fukuda 1 – 0 Kosuke Shibano (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sora Fukuda 1–0 Kosuke Shibano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/25 ITF M15 Yanagawa | 2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sora Fukuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Philip Sekulic M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Yusuke Kusuhara M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alibek Kachmazov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Kosuke Shibano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Thomas Linley UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Keisuke Ota UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jangjun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Alan Magadan UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sora Fukuda vs Kosuke Shibano?
Our model gives 69% to Sora Fukuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.