Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 13/10, 04:00

Prediction: Maksim Shin vs Yusuke Takahashi

Team pages: Maksim Shin · Yusuke Takahashi

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Maksim Shin Yusuke Takahashi
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Maksim Shin 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWLW
Yusuke Takahashi 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maksim Shin 1489 · Yusuke Takahashi 1481
Maksim ShinYusuke Takahashi
Our model51%49%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maksim Shin makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Maksim ShinYusuke Takahashi
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11-1.2
Games (G-P)10.8-10.410.2-10.1
Aces2.94.2
Double faults4.53.2
1st serve %69.3%71.5%
Break %39.7%43.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maksim Shin

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Zhenxiong Dong
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 13-6 W
07/10 Petr Bar Biryukov
M25 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/10 Tomohiro Masabayashi
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
17/09 Leo Borg
M25 Guiyang
0-2 10-14 L
16/09 Hao-Yu Lin
M25 Guiyang
2-0 12-8 W
10/09 Zhao Zhao
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
09/09 Harrison Satara
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
02/09 Miles Jones
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 9-16 L
02/07 Alessandro Coccioli
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
30/06 Cagan Efe Tufekci
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Yusuke Takahashi

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/10 Keisuke Saitoh
Challenger Wuning · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
04/10 Siddhant Banthia
Challenger Wuning · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/09 Jesse Delaney
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
08/09 Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Sapporo
0-2 6-12 L
02/09 Chase Ferguson
M25 Urayasu
1-2 13-17 L
28/08 Enzo Aguiard
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
27/08 Chan-Yeong Oh
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/08 Kokoro Isomura
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/08 Chan-Yeong Oh
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maksim Shin vs Yusuke Takahashi?

Our model gives 65% to Yusuke Takahashi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.