Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 14/10, 04:00
Prediction: Kristjan Tamm vs Xing Dao Chen
Team pages: Kristjan Tamm · Xing Dao Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristjan Tamm
Xing Dao Chen
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Kristjan Tamm
6-4 (W-L)
Xing Dao Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristjan Tamm 1517 · Xing Dao Chen 1439
| Kristjan Tamm | Xing Dao Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristjan Tamm (rating 1517 vs 1439).
- Kristjan Tamm dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 44.4% break avg.
- Kristjan Tamm is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kristjan Tamm | Xing Dao Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.4 | 8.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristjan Tamm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Yue Xia M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zak Talic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Reiya Komagata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 28/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Arthur Weber M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Ren Nakamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Xing Dao Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Xiaoyin Yang M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Filip Peliwo M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Xirui Han M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Zhiheng Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 09/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 08/07 | Sheng Tang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristjan Tamm vs Xing Dao Chen?
Our model gives 70% to Kristjan Tamm, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.