Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 13/10, 04:00
Prediction: Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo
Team pages: Yaroslav Demin · Filip Peliwo
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaroslav Demin
Filip Peliwo
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yaroslav Demin
5-5 (W-L)
Filip Peliwo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaroslav Demin 1499 · Filip Peliwo 1515
| Yaroslav Demin | Filip Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yaroslav Demin | Filip Peliwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.3 | 10.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jack Loge M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yassine Smiej M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Pablo Aunion M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Filip Peliwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Max Purcell Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Xing Dao Chen M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Tai Leonard Sach Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Arjun Rathi Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaroslav Demin vs Filip Peliwo?
Our model gives 57% to Yaroslav Demin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.