Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 13/10, 04:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Egor Pleshivtsev
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Egor Pleshivtsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Egor Pleshivtsev
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Egor Pleshivtsev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1529 · Egor Pleshivtsev 1495
| Evan Zhu | Egor Pleshivtsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Egor Pleshivtsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.7 | 9.3-9.5 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Zhiheng Xia Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Aleksi Lofman Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Egor Pleshivtsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Yua Taka M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Arthur Laborde M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Davit Zogranian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Lawrence Bataljin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Arnav Vijay Paparkar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Egor Pleshivtsev?
Our model gives 68% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.