Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 13/10, 04:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Sergey Fomin · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Fomin
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Fomin
5-5 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1420 · Dominik Palan 1402
| Sergey Fomin | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sergey Fomin makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.2 | 9-13.1 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 61% to Sergey Fomin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.