Tennis · W100 Edmond · 12/10, 20:00

Prediction: Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez vs Sara Shumate

Team pages: Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez · Sara Shumate

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez Sara Shumate
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWWWL
Sara Shumate 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez 1521 · Sara Shumate 1424
Sofia Elena Cabezas DominguezSara Shumate
Our model64%36%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez (rating 1521 vs 1424).
  • Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Sofia Elena Cabezas DominguezSara Shumate
Win %70%20%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.70.6-1.5
Games (G-P)10.6-6.77.2-10.5
Aces0.40.5
Double faults2.22.6
1st serve %67.2%53.7%
Break %54.9%34.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Olivia Lincer
W100 Templeton
0-2 1-7 L
23/09 Yara Bartashevich
W50 Berkeley
1-2 13-19 L
13/09 Lourdes Ayala
W15 Pilar
2-0 12-4 W
12/09 Camila Romero
W15 Pilar
2-0 12-5 W
11/09 Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau
W15 Pilar
2-0 12-3 W
10/09 Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca
W15 Pilar
2-0 12-3 W
08/09 Melina Maria Maruca
W15 Pilar
2-0 12-1 W
05/09 Victoria Bosio
W15 Lujan · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/09 Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
W15 Lujan · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
03/09 Agustina Daniela Duarte
W15 Lujan · ~Clay
2-1 15-9 W

Sara Shumate

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Ena Koike
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L
24/06 Ava Hrastar
W35 Rome
1-2 12-14 L
23/06 Kaya Baker
W35 Rome
2-0 12-1 W
01/06 Salma Ewing
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
22/04 Luiza Fullana
W35 Charlotte
0-2 2-12 L
14/04 Amelia Honer
W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
08/04 Ellie Schoppe
W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/04 Anais Gabriel
W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay
1-1 9-10 L
12/03 Alexandra Vagramov
W15 Victoriaville
0-2 7-12 L
11/03 Catherine Xie
W15 Victoriaville
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez vs Sara Shumate?

Our model gives 70% to Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.