Tennis · W100 Edmond · 12/10, 21:30
Prediction: Julia Adams vs Diae El Jardi
Team pages: Julia Adams · Diae El Jardi
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Adams
Diae El Jardi
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Adams
8-2 (W-L)
Diae El Jardi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Adams 1536 · Diae El Jardi 1463
| Julia Adams | Diae El Jardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Adams (rating 1536 vs 1463).
- Diae El Jardi dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Julia Adams is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Diae El Jardi makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Julia Adams | Diae El Jardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-8.6 | 10-10 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Adams
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Darya Velikova W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Pazardzhik |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Daria Kuczer W50 Pazardzhik |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/09 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Radom |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/09 | Anna Kmiecik W15 Radom |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Sara Husar W15 Radom |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Greta Nemcsek W15 Radom |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Oriana Gniewkowska W15 Radom |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Diae El Jardi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Jensen Diianni W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Miroslava Medvedeva W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Celine Simunyu W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Briley Rhoden W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Clarissa Blomqvist W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Zeel Desai W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Adams vs Diae El Jardi?
Our model gives 64% to Julia Adams, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.