Tennis · W100 Edmond · 12/10, 18:30
Prediction: Reina Goto vs Martina Okalova
Team pages: Reina Goto · Martina Okalova
Prediction summary
Winner
Reina Goto
Martina Okalova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Reina Goto
5-5 (W-L)
Martina Okalova
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reina Goto 1464 · Martina Okalova 1413
| Reina Goto | Martina Okalova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reina Goto (rating 1464 vs 1413).
- Reina Goto is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Martina Okalova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Reina Goto | Martina Okalova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.4 | 7.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reina Goto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Kate Fakih W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Johanne C Svendsen W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Jantje Tilbuerger W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Victoria Osuigwe W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anri Nagata W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Martina Okalova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Arina Bulatova W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Savannah Broadus W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Ava Catanzarite W100 Landisville |
1-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 25/07 | Avery Alexander WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Ipek Oz WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Anastasiya Zaparyniuk W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Barbora Palicova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reina Goto vs Martina Okalova?
Our model gives 64% to Reina Goto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.