Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 12/10, 12:00
Prediction: Loann Massard vs Jakub Paul
Team pages: Loann Massard · Jakub Paul
Prediction summary
Winner
Loann Massard
Jakub Paul
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Loann Massard
3-7 (W-L)
Jakub Paul
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Loann Massard 1524 · Jakub Paul 1489
| Loann Massard | Jakub Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Loann Massard | Jakub Paul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.1 | 11.1-11.9 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Loann Massard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Arthur Nagel Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 09/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Mae Malige M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Amaury Raynel M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Iiro Vasa M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Hugo Car M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Noah Boutleux M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Jakub Paul
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Niels McDonald Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/05 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/03 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Marrakech · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Naples · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/03 | John Sperle Challenger Naples · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Loann Massard vs Jakub Paul?
Our model gives 56% to Jakub Paul, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.