Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 12/10, 05:30
Prediction: Kristjan Tamm vs Yue Xia
Team pages: Kristjan Tamm · Yue Xia
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristjan Tamm
Yue Xia
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Kristjan Tamm
6-4 (W-L)
Yue Xia
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristjan Tamm 1518 · Yue Xia 1435
| Kristjan Tamm | Yue Xia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristjan Tamm (rating 1518 vs 1435).
- Kristjan Tamm dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 45.8% break avg.
- Kristjan Tamm is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kristjan Tamm | Yue Xia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.5 | 9.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristjan Tamm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zak Talic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Reiya Komagata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 28/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Arthur Weber M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Ren Nakamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Yue Xia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Nick Beamish M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Shaoyun Liu M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Shengyu Wang M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Stefan Vujic M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Dong Kyu Lee M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ivan Dorokhov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Alex Jones M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Yua Taka M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristjan Tamm vs Yue Xia?
Our model gives 73% to Kristjan Tamm, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.