Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 13/10, 11:00

Prediction: Aran Teixido Garcia vs Laura Samsonova

Team pages: Aran Teixido Garcia · Laura Samsonova

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Aran Teixido Garcia Laura Samsonova
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Aran Teixido Garcia 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWLL
Laura Samsonova 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aran Teixido Garcia 1494 · Laura Samsonova 1546
Aran Teixido GarciaLaura Samsonova
Our model43%57%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laura Samsonova (rating 1494 vs 1546).
  • Note: Aran Teixido Garcia makes many double faults (6.8/match).
  • Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Aran Teixido GarciaLaura Samsonova
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.4-1.1
Games (G-P)9.9-9.913-11
Aces0.73.5
Double faults6.85.9
1st serve %56.3%63.5%
Break %70%54.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aran Teixido Garcia

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Robin Montgomery
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
15/09 Clara Burel
WTA Valencia · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
14/09 Diletta Cherubini
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
13/09 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
08/09 Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/08 Pia Lovric
W35 Trieste
0-2 5-13 L
27/08 Marie Mettraux
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-2 W
26/08 Adrienn Nagy
W35 Trieste
2-0 13-8 W
25/08 Matilde Mariani
W35 Trieste
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Denisa Zoldakova
W50 Prague
1-2 15-17 L

Laura Samsonova

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Noemi Basiletti
WTA Tolentino · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/09 Samira De Stefano
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
1-2 13-13 L
18/09 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/09 Weronika Falkowska
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
2-1 18-10 W
15/09 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Tamara Zidansek
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
04/08 Mona Barthel
WTA Warsaw · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/08 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 14-10 W
01/08 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
31/07 Mia Ristic
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 17-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aran Teixido Garcia vs Laura Samsonova?

Our model gives 73% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.