Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 13/10, 11:00
Prediction: Mina Hodzic vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Team pages: Mina Hodzic · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Prediction summary
Winner
Mina Hodzic
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mina Hodzic
4-6 (W-L)
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mina Hodzic
0–2
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
(2 last)
- 04 Feb0-2 4-12L
- 01 Feb0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mina Hodzic 1446 · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1584
| Mina Hodzic | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (rating 1446 vs 1584).
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mina Hodzic 0–2 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (2).
- Note: Mina Hodzic makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Mina Hodzic | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.7 | 12.4-10 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 58% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Mina Hodzic 0 – 2 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mina Hodzic 0–2 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/25 W35 Antalya | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/02/25 W15 Antalya | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mina Hodzic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Malygina WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Katarina Zavatska W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Jessica Pieri W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Matilde Jorge W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Lisa Zaar W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 10/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Maria Andrienko W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Carla Giambelli W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Clara Burel WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mina Hodzic vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur?
Our model gives 76% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.