Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 13/10, 11:00
Prediction: Eva Vedder vs Francesca Curmi
Team pages: Eva Vedder · Francesca Curmi
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Vedder
Francesca Curmi
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Vedder
7-3 (W-L)
Francesca Curmi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eva Vedder
1–0
Francesca Curmi
(1 last)
- 10 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Vedder 1527 · Francesca Curmi 1511
| Eva Vedder | Francesca Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Eva Vedder 1–0 Francesca Curmi (1).
Statistics
| Eva Vedder | Francesca Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.4 | 11.9-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 60.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Eva Vedder 1 – 0 Francesca Curmi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eva Vedder 1–0 Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/24 W35 Reus | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Vedder
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Lisa Pigato W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Francisca Jorge W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Harmony Tan W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Caroline Werner W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Bianca Andreescu US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Alisa Oktiabreva W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Maayan Laron W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
1-1 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Francisca Jorge W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Vedder vs Francesca Curmi?
Our model gives 59% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.